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Bitcoin’s 24-Hour Crash: FCA Warning Was a Slap in the Face. But It Wasn’t the Cause. See what ‘allowed’ for a turn down in the immediate future. In case you blinked over the last two days, bitcoin bulls had their hat abruptly handed to them when the cryptocurrency plummeted a jarring 26% in 48 hours.… Read more Why did Bitcoin Crash? |
Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020
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Here’s Why Blind Contrarianism Failed in 2020. There is only one instance when the investing crowd is right. Yes, there are many times when the market’s Elliott wave structure suggests that an investor should take a position “against the crowd,” or put another way, be a contrarian. Prime examples are at market bottoms and tops.… Read more Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020 |
Debt: Precursor to an Economic Depression
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Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?) All major U.S. economic depressions were “set off” by this single factor! Isn’t all debt “bad”? Well, in a word, no. Broadly speaking, there are two types of debt. One of them actually adds value to the economy if handled in the right way,… Read more Debt: Precursor to an Economic Depression |
Smart Money vs Dumb Money
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Small Traders vs. Large Traders vs. Commercials: Who Is Right Most Often? When one of these groups acts, “the odds become high for a change of trend” It’s useful to know who is doing what in particular financial markets. You’ll find out why as we proceed, however, let’s first start off with some basic background… Read more Smart Money vs Dumb Money |
Trump vs Biden
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The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden |
Nobody is Selling Short – Is it a Top?
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Fear Grips Stock Market Short-Sellers — What to Make of It “This is easily the lowest wager against rising S&P rises” in the history of the data As you may know, short-selling a stock means that a speculator is betting that the price will go down. This is a lot riskier than taking a “long”… Read more Nobody is Selling Short – Is it a Top? |
Gold Fibonacci Retracement
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Gold: See What This Fibonacci Ratio Says About Trend A Fibonacci .618 retracement is a common reversal point in the markets Fibonacci numbers follow a sequence that begins with 0 and 1, and each subsequent number is the sum of the previous two (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, and so… Read more Gold Fibonacci Retracement |
Put/Call Ratio at 20 Year Low
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This Stock Market Indicator Reaches “Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years” Here’s what happened “the last time the 10-day put/call ratio made a lower extreme” After a big trend reversal, it’s not unusual for the correction to retrace much of the initial sell-off or rally. Thus, many investors are fooled into believing that the old… Read more Put/Call Ratio at 20 Year Low |
Extreme Bearish Sentiment in US Dollar
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U.S. Dollar: When Almost Everyone Is Bearish… By Elliott Wave International June started off with speculators decidedly negative toward the U.S. dollar. On the second day of the month, the Financial Times said: Wall Street strategists say dollar could be set for “dramatic” falls Elliott Wave International’s June 10 U.S. Short Term Update, a three-times-a-week… Read more Extreme Bearish Sentiment in US Dollar |
Japan Like Deflation in the United States
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The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation. Let’s begin with a brief review of Japan. Here’s a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash: Japan had one of the strongest economies in the entire world, growing at a 9% rate for 20 years up to 1973, and… Read more Japan Like Deflation in the United States |