Calm in the markets

Stoxx Europe 600: What Signs of Investor Exuberance Keep Telling Us Every day, you read news stories about the state of the economy and the stock market affecting consumer and investor behavior. The story goes something like this: When the economy and financial markets show signs of improvement, consumers start to spend more, and investors… Read more Calm in the markets

AI Revolution

Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ) looks like it is having a counter trend rally. This was foreseen as in the following article from Elliot Wave International back in March 2024: AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead “These things could get more intelligent than us” The topic with all… Read more AI Revolution

Another Bank Failure

Another Bank Failure: How to Tell if Your Bank is At Risk Another bank failure, another underperforming share price. Philadelphia-based Republic First Bank was closed down on Friday, April 26, and the assets were sold to Fulton Bank. Republic First becomes the first bank failure of 2024. Given our outlook for the stock market and… Read more Another Bank Failure

Time Tested Indicator

Why You Should Pay Attention to This Time-Tested Indicator Now “How High Can Markets Go?” — asks this magazine cover Paul Montgomery’s Magazine Cover Indicator postulates that by the time a financial asset makes it to the cover of a well-known news weekly, the existing trend has been going on for so long that it’s… Read more Time Tested Indicator

Signs of Economic Slowdown

3 Signs of Developing U.S. Economic Slowdown “Credit standards are tightening, thereby freezing out borrowers” Recent headlines about the U.S. economy are rosy: US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a healthy 3.4% annual rate (AP News, March 28) US economy continues to shine with help from consumers, labor market (Reuters,… Read more Signs of Economic Slowdown

Gold Price Targets

Gold: Setting Near-Term Price Targets This was our “initial upside target” — which has now been exceeded. What’s next? Around the first week of the year, the outlook for gold was not looking promising, at least according to this Jan. 5 headline (Reuters): Gold set for weekly decline as dollar, yields climb The rally in… Read more Gold Price Targets

Extreme Greed in Stocks

S&P 500: What to Make of Fear Versus Greed This sentiment index combines seven indicators into one useful trend measure That is — market participants generally go from feeling deeply pessimistic all the way to feeling highly optimistic — and then back again. These swings in investor psychology tend to produce similar circumstances at corresponding… Read more Extreme Greed in Stocks

China’s Housing Bust

Here’s an Update on China’s Big Housing Bust “Property market weakness is now spreading into the overall economy.” If you’re wondering about the future value of your home or the housing market in general, you may want to pay attention to what’s going on in China. The bottom line: The way we see it at… Read more China’s Housing Bust

Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

Why You Should Expect a Once-in-a-Lifetime Debt Crisis U.S. credit card debt surpasses $1 trillion On a national level, a debt crisis occurs when a country is unable to pay back its government debt. This might result from government spending exceeding tax revenues for an extended period. On an individual level, a crisis can result… Read more Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

US Home Equity

What Will Happen to That $30 Trillion in U.S. Home Equity? “It’s like someone turned off the faucet” You probably remember the last big housing bust which began more than 15 years ago. Elliott Wave International has observed that falling housing prices are generally preceded by a decline in home sales. The lag time may… Read more US Home Equity

Climbing Oil Prices

“Climbing Oil Prices Bearish for Stocks”? It’s a Myth! Oil and stocks sometimes trend together. Other times, they don’t. There’s a widespread belief that rising oil prices are bearish for the main stock indexes and falling oil prices are bullish for stocks. That belief is reflected in this Sept. 5 CNBC headline: Dow closes nearly… Read more Climbing Oil Prices

Interest Rates

Interest Rates: From 0% to Above 5% — to …? “The lines in the chart will turn up, and no policy will stop it” As you’re probably aware, many people who want to borrow to make a major purchase like a house or a car are bemoaning higher interest rates. It wasn’t so long ago… Read more Interest Rates

Why Do Traders Lose Money?

Why Do Traders Really Lose Money? Answer: It’s Not the Market’s Fault And 1 FREE course on how to help you stop self-sabotaging “good enough” trade plans I have always been a “who cares about the odds” kinda person. Meaning, if someone tells me the likelihood of succeeding at, say, learning to skateboard at 40,… Read more Why Do Traders Lose Money?

Bold Call on Housing Prices

Here’s a “Bold Call” on U.S. Housing Prices (Don’t Hang Your Hat on It) This does not look like a bottom in median existing home prices Back in October 2022, none other than Realtor.com asked the question: Is America in a housing bubble–and is it getting ready to burst? That was 10 months ago and… Read more Bold Call on Housing Prices

Insiders Selling

Pay Attention to This Group of Investors (They Know More) The stock market actions of corporate insiders is revealing It stands to reason that executives of a corporation know more about the goings-on of their business than outsiders. So, it’s wise to pay attention to their stock market actions regarding their own shares. Yes, the… Read more Insiders Selling

German Economy is Broken

How Germany’s Economy is Turning Ugly This economic gauge “dipped back below zero in less than a year” In November 2020, when fears were rampant over a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the president of the European Central Bank called for economic stimulus (Reuters): Facing gloomy outlook, Lagarde calls for unlocking EU aid In… Read more German Economy is Broken