Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

Why You Should Expect a Once-in-a-Lifetime Debt Crisis U.S. credit card debt surpasses $1 trillion On a national level, a debt crisis occurs when a country is unable to pay back its government debt. This might result from government spending exceeding tax revenues for an extended period. On an individual level, a crisis can result… Read more Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

Interest Rates

Interest Rates: From 0% to Above 5% — to …? “The lines in the chart will turn up, and no policy will stop it” As you’re probably aware, many people who want to borrow to make a major purchase like a house or a car are bemoaning higher interest rates. It wasn’t so long ago… Read more Interest Rates

German Economy is Broken

How Germany’s Economy is Turning Ugly This economic gauge “dipped back below zero in less than a year” In November 2020, when fears were rampant over a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the president of the European Central Bank called for economic stimulus (Reuters): Facing gloomy outlook, Lagarde calls for unlocking EU aid In… Read more German Economy is Broken

More Banks Could Fail

More Banks Could Collapse — A Lot More This ETF “continues to make lower lows” It’s sobering to reflect on the fact that the second, third and fourth largest bank failures in U.S. history have all occurred in just the past few months. They are First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank of New… Read more More Banks Could Fail

M2 Money Supply Deflates

U.S. Money Supply Deflates 2% Annually (What That Means) The debt bomb implodes: Expect recession and deflation Many pundits have expressed worry about the ramifications of global debt — and rightly so. As the Wall Street Journal noted toward the end of 2022: The world has amassed $290 trillion of debt and it’s getting more… Read more M2 Money Supply Deflates

Deflation Threat

Why the Threat of Deflation is Real “The Federal Reserve is forging ahead with its balance sheet reduction” I know — inflation has been grabbing all the headlines for a good while now — so you may wonder why the subject of deflation is relevant. First, the definitions of inflation and deflation go beyond commonly… Read more Deflation Threat

Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans

“Banks are becoming more cautious about lending” And the implications are bigger than just getting a loan Robert Prechter’s Last Chance to Conquer the Crash discusses the psychological aspect of a deflation: When the trend of social mood changes from optimism to pessimism, creditors, debtors, investors, producers and consumers all change their primary orientation from… Read more Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans

NFTs and Tulip Mania

Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): A Replay of Holland’s “Tulip Mania”? The NFT Index is down more than 55% from its November high. It seems the financial world has gone a little crazy — maybe a lot crazy. Specifically, I’m talking about non-fungible tokens or NFTs for short. You may be familiar with them, but in case… Read more NFTs and Tulip Mania

Corporate Bankruptcies

Why U.S. Corporate Bankruptcies Could Skyrocket “U.S. bankruptcies in the first quarter of 2021 and all of 2020 were above the 13-year average” An April 17 article headline on the website of National Public Radio says: U.S Economy Looking Good As Spending Jumps In March And, on April 29, The New York Times said: Americans’… Read more Corporate Bankruptcies