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Trouble Lies Ahead. Are You Ready For It? By Steven Hochberg | Elliott Wave International Conversations about whether or not the Fed will cut interest rates any time soon continue to dominate the airwaves. But we are looking elsewhere for signs about where markets and the economy are headed. Having observed market behavior for 45… Read more Trouble Lies Ahead |
Category: Economy
Articles about the general economy, macro-economic indicators, money supply, FED and government policies.
FED leads or follows the markets?
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The Fed Leads and the Market Follows? It’s a Big Fat MYTH We help investors by analyzing what really drives the markets. Along the way, we often uncover a market myth, something most investors believe moves the markets, but really doesn’t. I want to show you one of the biggest market myths in existence. It… Read more FED leads or follows the markets? |
Another Bank Failure
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Another Bank Failure: How to Tell if Your Bank is At Risk Another bank failure, another underperforming share price. Philadelphia-based Republic First Bank was closed down on Friday, April 26, and the assets were sold to Fulton Bank. Republic First becomes the first bank failure of 2024. Given our outlook for the stock market and… Read more Another Bank Failure |
Time Tested Indicator
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Why You Should Pay Attention to This Time-Tested Indicator Now “How High Can Markets Go?” — asks this magazine cover Paul Montgomery’s Magazine Cover Indicator postulates that by the time a financial asset makes it to the cover of a well-known news weekly, the existing trend has been going on for so long that it’s… Read more Time Tested Indicator |
Signs of Economic Slowdown
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3 Signs of Developing U.S. Economic Slowdown “Credit standards are tightening, thereby freezing out borrowers” Recent headlines about the U.S. economy are rosy: US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a healthy 3.4% annual rate (AP News, March 28) US economy continues to shine with help from consumers, labor market (Reuters,… Read more Signs of Economic Slowdown |
Gold Price Targets
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Gold: Setting Near-Term Price Targets This was our “initial upside target” — which has now been exceeded. What’s next? Around the first week of the year, the outlook for gold was not looking promising, at least according to this Jan. 5 headline (Reuters): Gold set for weekly decline as dollar, yields climb The rally in… Read more Gold Price Targets |
Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis
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Why You Should Expect a Once-in-a-Lifetime Debt Crisis U.S. credit card debt surpasses $1 trillion On a national level, a debt crisis occurs when a country is unable to pay back its government debt. This might result from government spending exceeding tax revenues for an extended period. On an individual level, a crisis can result… Read more Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis |
Interest Rates
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Interest Rates: From 0% to Above 5% — to …? “The lines in the chart will turn up, and no policy will stop it” As you’re probably aware, many people who want to borrow to make a major purchase like a house or a car are bemoaning higher interest rates. It wasn’t so long ago… Read more Interest Rates |
German Economy is Broken
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How Germany’s Economy is Turning Ugly This economic gauge “dipped back below zero in less than a year” In November 2020, when fears were rampant over a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the president of the European Central Bank called for economic stimulus (Reuters): Facing gloomy outlook, Lagarde calls for unlocking EU aid In… Read more German Economy is Broken |
More Banks Could Fail
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More Banks Could Collapse — A Lot More This ETF “continues to make lower lows” It’s sobering to reflect on the fact that the second, third and fourth largest bank failures in U.S. history have all occurred in just the past few months. They are First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank of New… Read more More Banks Could Fail |