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Money Manager Startles Global Conference. History shows that the U.S. should pay attention to economies in Europe. The economy has been sluggish for five years. There’s no shortage of chatter about “why,” yet few observers mention deflation. Bernanke has been printing trillions. ECB and Bank of Japan has joined the reflation efforts and promised to… Read more Deflation Warning |
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Is Deflation Possible?
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To understand the deflation problem, one must understand the nature of money and the amount of total debt in the US economy. In a credit based economy, money is created when banks make loans. Our money supply is not what Bernanke prints, but it is what we borrow. Fractional reserve banking coupled with interest based… Read more Is Deflation Possible? |
Social Mood, Politics and the Stock Market
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Here is an interesting perspective on predicting the outcome of presidential elections. According to socionomic theory, bear markets come with a downturn in crowd psychology. When the crowd turns from optimism to pessimism, it is first seen in stocks, and then the rest of the economy, politics, culture. A president who is in the office during… Read more Social Mood, Politics and the Stock Market |
Financial Tsunami Coming
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The size of the coming wave will surprise everyone It has been 4 years since the 2008 crash, and we have mostly forgotten about the dark days of financial calamity that almost destroyed the world economy. It was later revealed that FED made tens of trillions of loans to ailing institutions to save the world.… Read more Financial Tsunami Coming |
US Dollar Will Rise in Deflation
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Before the 2008 crash, US dollar had been declining steadily. Everyone was on a borrowing spree. We borrowed and spent and inflated the money supply. Banks create money when we borrow. And more and more chequebook money was being created. Then we ran out of borrowers and deflation started. US dollar suddenly shot up. Once… Read more US Dollar Will Rise in Deflation |
Deflation and Kondratieff Winter is About to Intensify
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After the crash of 2008-2009, Kondratieff Winter has eased. Money supply expansion has resumed with more borrowers stepping upto the plate. QE1 and QE2 has added to the base money supply and saved the banks – for now. But financial changes can happen at lightning speed in a way we do not foresee. History books… Read more Deflation and Kondratieff Winter is About to Intensify |
Conquer the Crash in Kondratieff Winter
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Financial assets has still not recovered from the financial crash of 2008. One could argue we are still in Kondratieff Winter. But will it get better or will it get worse? Have we seen the stock market bottom in 2009? Is it safe to buy and hold stocks for the long run? Or is buy… Read more Conquer the Crash in Kondratieff Winter |
Austerity in America
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What will austerity look like in America? State and local governments are broke. Pension plans are unfunded. Unemployment is as high as ever. Sovereign debt is a problem. The total debt in the world economy is too high. Entire western world has borrowed excessive amounts in the last few decades. This is not just the… Read more Austerity in America |
Global Debt Bubble
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Debt Bubble is More Threatening Than Any Single Economic Sector Now History shows that once a financial bubble bursts, it can take a long time to bounce back. We had a crash in 2008 and since then nothing has been fixed other than printing money and handing it out to the failed banks. Now we are doing… Read more Global Debt Bubble |
Public Pension Funds Are In Trouble
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It has been years since the great recession, but unemployment remains stubbornly high. Europe is struggling with the debt problems of it’s members and the debt problem of the US is in check by strong demand to US dollar despite Bernanke’s printing press. But is a bull market ahead of us despite all of our… Read more Public Pension Funds Are In Trouble |