Is Deflation Coming Again?

Not Inflation, But Deflation The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warns that the contracting U.S. economy signals deflation ahead In June, the U.S. government, revising its previous number, reported that the economy shrank by 2.9% in the first quarter of 2014. The steep plunge caught the bulls by surprise. It was substantially worse than the preliminary… Read more Is Deflation Coming Again?

Deflationary Forces Preventing FED’s Rescue Efforts

The Federal Reserve’s efforts to rescue the economy have been historically aggressive, starting with the initial round of quantitative easing in 2008 and continuing through 2013. Much money has been printed, despite what Bernanke says. M1 has been more than tripled. Yet Gold is down, commodities market is down, and inflation is still at historic low levels!… Read more Deflationary Forces Preventing FED’s Rescue Efforts

Deflation Warning

Money Manager Startles Global Conference. History shows that the U.S. should pay attention to economies in Europe. The economy has been sluggish for five years. There’s no shortage of chatter about “why,” yet few observers mention deflation. Bernanke has been printing trillions. ECB and Bank of Japan has joined the reflation efforts and promised to… Read more Deflation Warning

Social Mood, Politics and the Stock Market

Here is an interesting perspective on predicting the outcome of presidential elections. According to socionomic theory, bear markets come with a downturn in crowd psychology. When the crowd turns from optimism to pessimism, it is first seen in stocks, and then the rest of the economy, politics, culture. A president who is in the office during… Read more Social Mood, Politics and the Stock Market