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U.S. Stocks: Why Acting Independently Has Never Been More Important “Individual investors have been snapping up stocks at the fastest pace on record” More than 20 years ago, when I was working for another company, I remember hearing a colleague say that he doesn’t look at his monthly 401k statements. The implication was clear: He… Read more Retail Investors Jump In |
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Recession Consensus Might Be Too Optimistic
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Why the Recession Consensus Might Be Too Optimistic “Major stock market declines lead directly to…” The verdict seems to be in: The economy is headed for a recession. These headlines from the past few months show what I’m talking about: A 2023 recession would mean job losses for most industries … (USA Today, Feb. 3)… Read more Recession Consensus Might Be Too Optimistic |
Gold Price and Inflation
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Gold and Inflation: Here’s a Market Myth “If you believe in Gold as a consumer price inflation hedge then…” Back in the days of the Roman Empire, an ounce of gold could buy a Roman a well-made toga, belt and finely crafted sandals. In modern day Rome, lo and behold, a businessman can become sharply… Read more Gold Price and Inflation |
Why Oil Prices Fell Despite Supply Shock
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Why Oil Prices Fell in the Face of “Supply Shock” “Crude should be at the forefront of a…” Looking back on 2022, one of the biggest fears about oil was that prices would skyrocket even more than they did due to a disruption in supply from Russia. Of course, Russia has been a major world… Read more Why Oil Prices Fell Despite Supply Shock |
Deflation Threat
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Why the Threat of Deflation is Real “The Federal Reserve is forging ahead with its balance sheet reduction” I know — inflation has been grabbing all the headlines for a good while now — so you may wonder why the subject of deflation is relevant. First, the definitions of inflation and deflation go beyond commonly… Read more Deflation Threat |
FED Follows Treasury Rates Again
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Major Fed Myth: Debunked The Fed is reactive in setting rates – not proactive The days of near-zero interest rates are long gone — at least for now. As we look back on 2022, we know that it’s been a year of rising interest rates, and many observers say it’s all due to the Fed.… Read more FED Follows Treasury Rates Again |
2022 May Have Been the Preview of the Upcoming Crash
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Stocks and Economy: Why 2022 May Have Just Been the Preview “Fight the inertia that will keep you from taking action to prepare for the downturn” The main show is likely about to begin. 2022 may have just been a preview of what’s ahead for stocks and the economy, which Robert Prechter’s Last Chance to… Read more 2022 May Have Been the Preview of the Upcoming Crash |
Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans
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“Banks are becoming more cautious about lending” And the implications are bigger than just getting a loan Robert Prechter’s Last Chance to Conquer the Crash discusses the psychological aspect of a deflation: When the trend of social mood changes from optimism to pessimism, creditors, debtors, investors, producers and consumers all change their primary orientation from… Read more Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans |
Investors in US Treasuries Face Major Risk
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Why Investors in U.S. Treasuries Face Major Risk Rising rates will be “disastrous” for governments, other debtors and creditors The market for U.S. Treasuries is the biggest bond market in the world, and it appears that potentially big trouble may be afoot. Earlier this month, none other than the U.S. Treasury Secretary herself (Janet Yellen)… Read more Investors in US Treasuries Face Major Risk |
Real Estate Tide is Turning
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THIS is Why the Real Estate Tide is Turning Here’s your next step to get a handle on the global property market. Treat houses as a consumption item — or simply as a place to live, and history shows that real prices will fluctuate only modestly over the decades. Treat houses as an investment, and… Read more Real Estate Tide is Turning |