Deflation Threat

Why the Threat of Deflation is Real “The Federal Reserve is forging ahead with its balance sheet reduction” I know — inflation has been grabbing all the headlines for a good while now — so you may wonder why the subject of deflation is relevant. First, the definitions of inflation and deflation go beyond commonly… Read more Deflation Threat

Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans

“Banks are becoming more cautious about lending” And the implications are bigger than just getting a loan Robert Prechter’s Last Chance to Conquer the Crash discusses the psychological aspect of a deflation: When the trend of social mood changes from optimism to pessimism, creditors, debtors, investors, producers and consumers all change their primary orientation from… Read more Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans

Crypto Winter Update

Cryptos: Welcome to the “Lunatic Fringe” A crypto hedge fund going all the way down to $0 is one way you know it’s “a Grand Supercycle peak” The bankruptcy of crypto broker Voyager Digital has been widely reported. Now, another crypto investment “bites the dust.” This time — it’s Three Arrows Capital (3AC) — a… Read more Crypto Winter Update

Wipeout of Green Bonds

Wipeout! New Update on Our “Green Bond” (ESG) Forecast Excessive euphoria in financial markets is usually a big reason to be “skeptical” Environmental, Social and Governance bonds (ESG) — also called “green” bonds — are offered by companies which want to advance the causes of social justice, social inclusion and green technology. This form of… Read more Wipeout of Green Bonds

Scary Part Just Ahead

Stocks: Is the Really Scary Part Just Ahead? Here’s one of the actions which investors take when they get “rattled” Big daily selloffs have occurred since the stock market’s downtrend began in January. For instance, on May 18, the Dow Industrials closed lower by 1,161 points — a 3.6% drop. The S&P 500 shed 4%… Read more Scary Part Just Ahead