Extreme Greed in Stocks

S&P 500: What to Make of Fear Versus Greed This sentiment index combines seven indicators into one useful trend measure That is — market participants generally go from feeling deeply pessimistic all the way to feeling highly optimistic — and then back again. These swings in investor psychology tend to produce similar circumstances at corresponding… Read more Extreme Greed in Stocks

China’s Housing Bust

Here’s an Update on China’s Big Housing Bust “Property market weakness is now spreading into the overall economy.” If you’re wondering about the future value of your home or the housing market in general, you may want to pay attention to what’s going on in China. The bottom line: The way we see it at… Read more China’s Housing Bust

Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

Why You Should Expect a Once-in-a-Lifetime Debt Crisis U.S. credit card debt surpasses $1 trillion On a national level, a debt crisis occurs when a country is unable to pay back its government debt. This might result from government spending exceeding tax revenues for an extended period. On an individual level, a crisis can result… Read more Once in a Lifetime Debt Crisis

US Home Equity

What Will Happen to That $30 Trillion in U.S. Home Equity? “It’s like someone turned off the faucet” You probably remember the last big housing bust which began more than 15 years ago. Elliott Wave International has observed that falling housing prices are generally preceded by a decline in home sales. The lag time may… Read more US Home Equity

Climbing Oil Prices

“Climbing Oil Prices Bearish for Stocks”? It’s a Myth! Oil and stocks sometimes trend together. Other times, they don’t. There’s a widespread belief that rising oil prices are bearish for the main stock indexes and falling oil prices are bullish for stocks. That belief is reflected in this Sept. 5 CNBC headline: Dow closes nearly… Read more Climbing Oil Prices

Interest Rates

Interest Rates: From 0% to Above 5% — to …? “The lines in the chart will turn up, and no policy will stop it” As you’re probably aware, many people who want to borrow to make a major purchase like a house or a car are bemoaning higher interest rates. It wasn’t so long ago… Read more Interest Rates

Why Do Traders Lose Money?

Why Do Traders Really Lose Money? Answer: It’s Not the Market’s Fault And 1 FREE course on how to help you stop self-sabotaging “good enough” trade plans I have always been a “who cares about the odds” kinda person. Meaning, if someone tells me the likelihood of succeeding at, say, learning to skateboard at 40,… Read more Why Do Traders Lose Money?

Bold Call on Housing Prices

Here’s a “Bold Call” on U.S. Housing Prices (Don’t Hang Your Hat on It) This does not look like a bottom in median existing home prices Back in October 2022, none other than Realtor.com asked the question: Is America in a housing bubble–and is it getting ready to burst? That was 10 months ago and… Read more Bold Call on Housing Prices

Insiders Selling

Pay Attention to This Group of Investors (They Know More) The stock market actions of corporate insiders is revealing It stands to reason that executives of a corporation know more about the goings-on of their business than outsiders. So, it’s wise to pay attention to their stock market actions regarding their own shares. Yes, the… Read more Insiders Selling

German Economy is Broken

How Germany’s Economy is Turning Ugly This economic gauge “dipped back below zero in less than a year” In November 2020, when fears were rampant over a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the president of the European Central Bank called for economic stimulus (Reuters): Facing gloomy outlook, Lagarde calls for unlocking EU aid In… Read more German Economy is Broken

Tulip Mania Was Nothing

Recently, Elliott Wave International’s president Robert Prechter gave a rare interview. He covered a lot of ground – from stocks and Bitcoin to the economy and gold. Our friends at Elliott Wave International are sharing Prechter’s interview with you free. Listen as Prechter explains why 2021’s extreme market sentiment made the Tulip Mania look like… Read more Tulip Mania Was Nothing

Harbinger of the Bear Market

Insights into This “Ultimate Harbinger” of the Bear Market Enthusiasm for U.S. IPOs seems to be dramatically decreasing Back in early 2021, many investors were chomping at the bits to invest in entities about which they knew next to nothing. These entities are known as Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs), which may be described as… Read more Harbinger of the Bear Market

Possible Replay of History

Stocks: Possible Replay of an Ominous Price Pattern “I became panicky and covered at a considerable loss…” The reason price patterns tend to repeat in the stock market is that investor psychology never changes. The Elliott wave model directly reflects these largely predictable swings in investor psychology. That’s what the Elliott wave principle is all… Read more Possible Replay of History

Sectors Leading Lower

Will These 2 Sectors Lead the Stock Market Lower? This key sector continues to be “fragile” Although it doesn’t feel like it sometimes, the U.S. stock market has been in a downtrend since January 2022. The reason it doesn’t feel like it is because the S&P 500 has been in a narrow trading range between… Read more Sectors Leading Lower

More Banks Could Fail

More Banks Could Collapse — A Lot More This ETF “continues to make lower lows” It’s sobering to reflect on the fact that the second, third and fourth largest bank failures in U.S. history have all occurred in just the past few months. They are First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank of New… Read more More Banks Could Fail

Insane Optimism in Stocks

How “Insane Optimism” is at Work in the Stock Market “Stock investors are so bullish that they are…” Many technical indicators are highly useful, yet the price moves of the stock market really boil down to two things: optimism and pessimism. Major trend turns tend to occur when extremes are reached in either optimism or… Read more Insane Optimism in Stocks

Next Shoe to Drop: Corporate Bonds

Corporate Bonds: “The Next Shoe to Drop” “The neckline has been broken over the last few days” A “calamity” is likely ahead for corporate bonds, says our head of global research, Murray Gunn. Some of Murray’s analysis involves the head and shoulders, a classic technical chart pattern. In case you’re unfamiliar with it, here’s an… Read more Next Shoe to Drop: Corporate Bonds