![]() | Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?) All major U.S. economic depressions were “set off” by this single factor! Isn’t all debt “bad”? Well, in a word, no. Broadly speaking, there are two types of debt. One of them actually adds value to the economy if handled in the right way,… Read more Debt: Precursor to an Economic Depression |
Category: Economy
Articles about the general economy, macro-economic indicators, money supply, FED and government policies.
Trump vs Biden
![]() | The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden |
Japan Like Deflation in the United States
![]() | The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation. Let’s begin with a brief review of Japan. Here’s a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash: Japan had one of the strongest economies in the entire world, growing at a 9% rate for 20 years up to 1973, and… Read more Japan Like Deflation in the United States |
Emerging Markets and Epidemics
![]() | An Eye-Opening Perspective: Emerging Markets and Epidemics People across the entire planet remain very much aware of the COVID-19 health threat. The global disruption associated with the pandemic far surpasses other major health scares in modern history. Even so, you may recall 2009 news articles similar to this one from the New York Times (June… Read more Emerging Markets and Epidemics |
Deflation vs the FED
![]() | Weeks before the February top in the DJIA, the January Elliott Wave Theorist (Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter’s monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979) said: Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI’s analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate… Read more Deflation vs the FED |
US dollar goes up in a Deflationary Crash
![]() | The relative value of cash will necessarily zoom higher when stocks plunge. A negative sentiment toward cash had been in place for quite some time. Let’s go back a little more than a year when our Feb. 2019 Elliott Wave Theorist showed this chart and said: The average cash holding in mutual funds just fell… Read more US dollar goes up in a Deflationary Crash |
Pension Plans Investing in Stock Market
![]() | You Won’t Believe WHEN Pension Funds “Embraced Stocks as a Safe Investment” Pension funds were already in a highly precarious position before the DJIA’s February 12 high and the subsequent start of the high drama in stock moves. The 2018 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash noted: The bull market in stocks has gone… Read more Pension Plans Investing in Stock Market |
Why did the Fed cut the rates
![]() | Think the Fed’s Emergency Rate Cut is Proactive? Think Again. You might think that the Fed’s recent, unscheduled 50 basis-point cut in the federal funds rate is a proactive move that places the central bank at the vanguard of revolutionary uses of monetary policy. But that could hardly be further from the truth. For decades… Read more Why did the Fed cut the rates |
FED is Going To Cut the Rates Soon
Elliott Wave: Market Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon We have tracked the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rates decisions for years. Back in March 24th, we said FED follows the market lead. This week, the Fed once again decided to keep the funds rate unchanged. We expect the Fed to change course soon. We have… Read more FED is Going To Cut the Rates Soon |
FED follows the market lead
![]() | Back in December, Elliot Wave International wrote an article titled “Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows Market.” In the piece, it was noted that while most experts believe that central banks set interest rates, it’s actually the other way around—the market leads, and the Fed follows. They pointed out that the December rate hike… Read more FED follows the market lead |