Category: Economy

What the “Sudden, Dramatic” Surge in Googling “Inflation” Tells You It likely “typifies the end of an old economic trend and the beginning of a new one” In the news, you hear that the big monetary fear these days is the prospect for a jump in inflation. Here are some headlines since the start of… Read more Inflation or Deflation?

Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?) All major U.S. economic depressions were “set off” by this single factor! Isn’t all debt “bad”? Well, in a word, no. Broadly speaking, there are two types of debt. One of them actually adds value to the economy if handled in the right way,… Read more Debt: Precursor to an Economic Depression

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden

The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation. Let’s begin with a brief review of Japan. Here’s a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash: Japan had one of the strongest economies in the entire world, growing at a 9% rate for 20 years up to 1973, and… Read more Japan Like Deflation in the United States

An Eye-Opening Perspective: Emerging Markets and Epidemics People across the entire planet remain very much aware of the COVID-19 health threat. The global disruption associated with the pandemic far surpasses other major health scares in modern history. Even so, you may recall 2009 news articles similar to this one from the New York Times (June… Read more Emerging Markets and Epidemics

Weeks before the February top in the DJIA, the January Elliott Wave Theorist (Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter’s monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979) said: Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI’s analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate… Read more Deflation vs the FED

You Won’t Believe WHEN Pension Funds “Embraced Stocks as a Safe Investment” Pension funds were already in a highly precarious position before the DJIA’s February 12 high and the subsequent start of the high drama in stock moves. The 2018 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash noted: The bull market in stocks has gone… Read more Pension Plans Investing in Stock Market

Think the Fed’s Emergency Rate Cut is Proactive? Think Again. You might think that the Fed’s recent, unscheduled 50 basis-point cut in the federal funds rate is a proactive move that places the central bank at the vanguard of revolutionary uses of monetary policy. But that could hardly be further from the truth. For decades… Read more Why did the Fed cut the rates

Elliott Wave: Market Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon We have tracked the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rates decisions for years. Back in March 24th, we said FED follows the market lead. This week, the Fed once again decided to keep the funds rate unchanged. We expect the Fed to change course soon. We have… Read more FED is Going To Cut the Rates Soon