Category: Economy

Why U.S. Corporate Bankruptcies Could Skyrocket “U.S. bankruptcies in the first quarter of 2021 and all of 2020 were above the 13-year average” An April 17 article headline on the website of National Public Radio says: U.S Economy Looking Good As Spending Jumps In March And, on April 29, The New York Times said: Americans’… Read more Corporate Bankruptcies

Cryptos: What the “Bizarre” World of Non-Fungible Tokens May Be Signaling The world of cryptos includes something known as non-fungible tokens, which go by the acronym NFTs. If you’re unfamiliar with them, they’re a bit bizarre but quite simple. Here’s what the April Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50+… Read more Non-Fungible Tokens Mania

If raising money doesn’t get any easier than this, what’s next? The latest data from Refinitiv shows that companies have raised a record $140 billion in the U.S. dollar junk bond market during the first quarter of this year. That beats the previous record set during the second quarter last year when companies scrambled to… Read more Record High Junk Bond Demand

What the “Sudden, Dramatic” Surge in Googling “Inflation” Tells You It likely “typifies the end of an old economic trend and the beginning of a new one” In the news, you hear that the big monetary fear these days is the prospect for a jump in inflation. Here are some headlines since the start of… Read more Inflation or Deflation?

Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?) All major U.S. economic depressions were “set off” by this single factor! Isn’t all debt “bad”? Well, in a word, no. Broadly speaking, there are two types of debt. One of them actually adds value to the economy if handled in the right way,… Read more Debt: Precursor to an Economic Depression

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden

The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation. Let’s begin with a brief review of Japan. Here’s a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash: Japan had one of the strongest economies in the entire world, growing at a 9% rate for 20 years up to 1973, and… Read more Japan Like Deflation in the United States

An Eye-Opening Perspective: Emerging Markets and Epidemics People across the entire planet remain very much aware of the COVID-19 health threat. The global disruption associated with the pandemic far surpasses other major health scares in modern history. Even so, you may recall 2009 news articles similar to this one from the New York Times (June… Read more Emerging Markets and Epidemics

Weeks before the February top in the DJIA, the January Elliott Wave Theorist (Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter’s monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979) said: Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI’s analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate… Read more Deflation vs the FED