Corporate Bankruptcies

Why U.S. Corporate Bankruptcies Could Skyrocket “U.S. bankruptcies in the first quarter of 2021 and all of 2020 were above the 13-year average” An April 17 article headline on the website of National Public Radio says: U.S Economy Looking Good As Spending Jumps In March And, on April 29, The New York Times said: Americans’… Read more Corporate Bankruptcies

The Peak in World Stocks

“Wall Street never changes,”¬†said Jesse Livermore, the legendary ‘boy plunger’ trader.¬†“The pockets change, the suckers change, the stocks change, but Wall Street never changes, because human nature never changes.” Livermore’s trading life started towards the end of the 1800s, just as Charles Dow was writing about the stock market in his Wall Street Journal. Dow’s… Read more The Peak in World Stocks

Non-Fungible Tokens Mania

Cryptos: What the “Bizarre” World of Non-Fungible Tokens May Be Signaling The world of cryptos includes something known as non-fungible tokens, which go by the acronym NFTs. If you’re unfamiliar with them, they’re a bit bizarre but quite simple. Here’s what the April Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50+… Read more Non-Fungible Tokens Mania

Does Gold Go Up Due to Money Printing?

What Drives Gold Prices? (Don’t Say “the Fed!”) Excerpted from Elliott Wave International’s new FREE report ” Gold Investor’s Survival Guide: 5 Principles That Help You Stay Ahead of Price Turns.” There is a glaring hole in the popular understanding of what drives gold’s price. Mainstream finance believes the Federal Reserve’s monetary and interest rate… Read more Does Gold Go Up Due to Money Printing?

The Margin Doom

“Fastest Jump Since 2007”: How Leveraged Investors are Courting “Doom” “Our view is that the use of margin to buy stocks is far higher than the NYSE figures indicate” The stock market uptrend has extended for more than 11 years. Even so, instead of displaying caution, investors have been borrowing to buy stocks like there’s… Read more The Margin Doom

Panic and Euphoria

8 Indicators in 1: Here’s the Message of the Panic/Euphoria Mode. Prior model extremes occurred in March 2000 and October 2007. Elliott Wave International has been providing market analysis for more than four decades — which includes many bull/bear market cycles. That said, the public’s current market mindset — especially among inexperienced investors — is… Read more Panic and Euphoria

Record High Junk Bond Demand

If raising money doesn’t get any easier than this, what’s next? The latest data from Refinitiv shows that companies have raised a record $140 billion in the U.S. dollar junk bond market during the first quarter of this year. That beats the previous record set during the second quarter last year when companies scrambled to… Read more Record High Junk Bond Demand

Inflation or Deflation?

What the “Sudden, Dramatic” Surge in Googling “Inflation” Tells You It likely “typifies the end of an old economic trend and the beginning of a new one” In the news, you hear that the big monetary fear these days is the prospect for a jump in inflation. Here are some headlines since the start of… Read more Inflation or Deflation?

Bullish Sentiment Extreme

U.S. Stocks: Here’s a Big Sign That “Sentiment Cannot Get Much More Extreme” The stock exposure of the most bearish active investment managers is revealing Relatively few investors want to bet against the stock market rally. As a Feb. 18 financial article says (CNBC): Short interest in the market has fallen to near-record lows. Indeed,… Read more Bullish Sentiment Extreme

Margin Call Tsunami

Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More “Disruptive” Than in 2000 or 2007 “Can investors afford to borrow anymore?” Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa. So, the current bull market will end sooner or later. The prior two bull market tops… Read more Margin Call Tsunami

Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020

Here’s Why Blind Contrarianism Failed in 2020. There is only one instance when the investing crowd is right. Yes, there are many times when the market’s Elliott wave structure suggests that an investor should take a position “against the crowd,” or put another way, be a contrarian. Prime examples are at market bottoms and tops.… Read more Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020

Smart Money vs Dumb Money

Small Traders vs. Large Traders vs. Commercials: Who Is Right Most Often? When one of these groups acts, “the odds become high for a change of trend” It’s useful to know who is doing what in particular financial markets. You’ll find out why as we proceed, however, let’s first start off with some basic background… Read more Smart Money vs Dumb Money

Trump vs Biden

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden