Trump vs Biden

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden

Extreme Bearish Sentiment in US Dollar

U.S. Dollar: When Almost Everyone Is Bearish… By Elliott Wave International June started off with speculators decidedly negative toward the U.S. dollar. On the second day of the month, the Financial Times said: Wall Street strategists say dollar could be set for “dramatic” falls Elliott Wave International’s June 10 U.S. Short Term Update, a three-times-a-week… Read more Extreme Bearish Sentiment in US Dollar

Is Gold at a Top?

Gold and Silver: Pay Attention to This Noteworthy Record High Here’s what usually occurs in related financial markets when “big changes in social mood are afoot” Related financial markets tend to move together. For example, gold and silver. Or, consider stocks. When the Dow Industrials are up on a given trading day, the NASDAQ is… Read more Is Gold at a Top?

Deflation vs the FED

Weeks before the February top in the DJIA, the January Elliott Wave Theorist (Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter’s monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979) said: Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI’s analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate… Read more Deflation vs the FED

Buying the dip?

Stocks: Why “Buying the Dip” is Fraught with Danger Investors know that the main U.S. stock indexes have tumbled very quickly. On a historical basis, some may not realize just how quickly. A March 23 Marketwatch headline referred to a “mind-bending stat”: The S&P 500 has dropped 30% from peak to trough faster than any… Read more Buying the dip?

How to Identify the Market Trend

Fundamental analysis versus Elliott wave analysis: the winner for predicting the 9-year long commodity bear market is clear. 95% of traders fail. It’s a day-drinking, country-music kind of statistic. Think: “Friends in Sell-Low, Buy-High Places.” One article attempts to quantify the reasons, citing: “SCIENTIST DISCOVERED WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE MONEY — 24 SURPRISING STATISTICS.” See… Read more How to Identify the Market Trend