Inflation or Deflation?

What the “Sudden, Dramatic” Surge in Googling “Inflation” Tells You It likely “typifies the end of an old economic trend and the beginning of a new one” In the news, you hear that the big monetary fear these days is the prospect for a jump in inflation. Here are some headlines since the start of… Read more Inflation or Deflation?

Bullish Sentiment Extreme

U.S. Stocks: Here’s a Big Sign That “Sentiment Cannot Get Much More Extreme” The stock exposure of the most bearish active investment managers is revealing Relatively few investors want to bet against the stock market rally. As a Feb. 18 financial article says (CNBC): Short interest in the market has fallen to near-record lows. Indeed,… Read more Bullish Sentiment Extreme

Margin Call Tsunami

Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More “Disruptive” Than in 2000 or 2007 “Can investors afford to borrow anymore?” Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa. So, the current bull market will end sooner or later. The prior two bull market tops… Read more Margin Call Tsunami

Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020

Here’s Why Blind Contrarianism Failed in 2020. There is only one instance when the investing crowd is right. Yes, there are many times when the market’s Elliott wave structure suggests that an investor should take a position “against the crowd,” or put another way, be a contrarian. Prime examples are at market bottoms and tops.… Read more Contrarian Trade Failed in 2020

Smart Money vs Dumb Money

Small Traders vs. Large Traders vs. Commercials: Who Is Right Most Often? When one of these groups acts, “the odds become high for a change of trend” It’s useful to know who is doing what in particular financial markets. You’ll find out why as we proceed, however, let’s first start off with some basic background… Read more Smart Money vs Dumb Money

Trump vs Biden

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins? Get deeply researched answers… Read more Trump vs Biden