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“Banks are becoming more cautious about lending” And the implications are bigger than just getting a loan Robert Prechter’s Last Chance to Conquer the Crash discusses the psychological aspect of a deflation: When the trend of social mood changes from optimism to pessimism, creditors, debtors, investors, producers and consumers all change their primary orientation from… Read more Tighter Lending Standards for Bank Loans |
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Investors in US Treasuries Face Major Risk
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Why Investors in U.S. Treasuries Face Major Risk Rising rates will be “disastrous” for governments, other debtors and creditors The market for U.S. Treasuries is the biggest bond market in the world, and it appears that potentially big trouble may be afoot. Earlier this month, none other than the U.S. Treasury Secretary herself (Janet Yellen)… Read more Investors in US Treasuries Face Major Risk |
Real Estate Tide is Turning
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THIS is Why the Real Estate Tide is Turning Here’s your next step to get a handle on the global property market. Treat houses as a consumption item — or simply as a place to live, and history shows that real prices will fluctuate only modestly over the decades. Treat houses as an investment, and… Read more Real Estate Tide is Turning |
Stocks and Bonds Can Fall in Tandem
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Why You Should Be Leery of the 60 / 40 Portfolio “The tidal wave of risk assumption … may be turning” Many investors allocate a percentage of their portfolios to bonds to cushion against a drop in the stock market. A popular allocation is a 60 / 40 mix of stocks and bonds. However, this… Read more Stocks and Bonds Can Fall in Tandem |
Will the Greatest Depression Start in Europe?
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Will the “Greatest Depression” Start in Europe? This action by investors resulted in “the highest total since 2014, and probably ever” Many people are familiar with the Great Depression of the early 1930s, but most of them may not know that this economic calamity began in Europe before arriving in the U.S., as a past… Read more Will the Greatest Depression Start in Europe? |
Daily Sentiment Index Extreme Says Volatility Is Next
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Why You Should Expect a Pickup in Stock-Market Volatility “Traders are convinced the market volatility will remain subdued” When things get quiet in a horror movie, that’s when you need to really brace yourself. The monster or the killer will soon be on the scene. That’s a close enough analogy to what can happen in… Read more Daily Sentiment Index Extreme Says Volatility Is Next |
Only the Few Can Get Out at The Top
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Severe Bear Market: Will You Be Among the Prepared 1.5%? “Oftentimes, rallies will end with an inter-index non-confirmation” A long-long time ago in a galaxy far away… errr, on the heels of the year 2000 dot-com crash, to be exact — which is ancient history for many investors today — the February 2003 Elliott Wave… Read more Only the Few Can Get Out at The Top |
Crypto Winter Update
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Cryptos: Welcome to the “Lunatic Fringe” A crypto hedge fund going all the way down to $0 is one way you know it’s “a Grand Supercycle peak” The bankruptcy of crypto broker Voyager Digital has been widely reported. Now, another crypto investment “bites the dust.” This time — it’s Three Arrows Capital (3AC) — a… Read more Crypto Winter Update |
Wipeout of Green Bonds
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Wipeout! New Update on Our “Green Bond” (ESG) Forecast Excessive euphoria in financial markets is usually a big reason to be “skeptical” Environmental, Social and Governance bonds (ESG) — also called “green” bonds — are offered by companies which want to advance the causes of social justice, social inclusion and green technology. This form of… Read more Wipeout of Green Bonds |
How to Navigate a Bear Market
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Market action this year has hurt A LOT of people. Cryptos. Meme stocks. Tech stocks. We’ve seen some huge percentage declines — all against a backdrop of historic leaps in interest rates and inflation. Lifestyles irrevocably changed, not for the better. Economists missed it. The Fed missed it. Politicians missed it. But a few folks… Read more How to Navigate a Bear Market |