Severe Bear Market: Will You Be Among the Prepared 1.5%? “Oftentimes, rallies will end with an inter-index non-confirmation” A long-long time ago in a galaxy far away… errr, on the heels of the year 2000 dot-com crash, to be exact — which is ancient history for many investors today — the February 2003 Elliott Wave… Read more Only the Few Can Get Out at The Top |
Category: Stock Market
Articles about stock market, market timing, technical indicators, stock market trends, market top, market bottom.
Wipeout of Green Bonds
Wipeout! New Update on Our “Green Bond” (ESG) Forecast Excessive euphoria in financial markets is usually a big reason to be “skeptical” Environmental, Social and Governance bonds (ESG) — also called “green” bonds — are offered by companies which want to advance the causes of social justice, social inclusion and green technology. This form of… Read more Wipeout of Green Bonds |
How to Navigate a Bear Market
Market action this year has hurt A LOT of people. Cryptos. Meme stocks. Tech stocks. We’ve seen some huge percentage declines — all against a backdrop of historic leaps in interest rates and inflation. Lifestyles irrevocably changed, not for the better. Economists missed it. The Fed missed it. Politicians missed it. But a few folks… Read more How to Navigate a Bear Market |
NETFLIX Decline is Only the Beginning
Netflix: Way More Room to Drop “Doubled eleven times in 19 years … then cut in half twice” The glory days of at least one of the FAANG stocks appear to be all but over — at least for now. As revenue shrinks at Netflix, more heads have rolled at the subscription-based streaming service of… Read more NETFLIX Decline is Only the Beginning |
Tech Stocks and the Dot-com “Echo”
“Downside surprises should become the norm” The Wave Principle’s basic pattern includes five waves in the direction of the larger trend, followed by three corrective waves, as illustrated in both bull and bear markets below: You probably recall the bursting of the dot-com bubble when the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 plummeted 78% between March 2000 and… Read more Tech Stocks and the Dot-com “Echo” |
Scary Part Just Ahead
Stocks: Is the Really Scary Part Just Ahead? Here’s one of the actions which investors take when they get “rattled” Big daily selloffs have occurred since the stock market’s downtrend began in January. For instance, on May 18, the Dow Industrials closed lower by 1,161 points — a 3.6% drop. The S&P 500 shed 4%… Read more Scary Part Just Ahead |
Are Stocks Overvalued?
Are stocks overvalued? A quick look at the long term perspective. Take a minute and look at a valuation chart for the stock market: What we have here on the X axis is the bond yield/stock yield ratio for the S&P 400 companies. Sounds fancy, but all it means is that the further you go… Read more Are Stocks Overvalued? |
Most Funds Ill Prepared for Bear Market
Why Most Equity Mutual Funds Are (Again) Ill-Prepared for a Bear Market Professional money managers herd “right along with other speculators” Is a bear market already underway in the U.S.? Only time will tell for sure. What is known is that the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 index topped in January and the NASDAQ registered… Read more Most Funds Ill Prepared for Bear Market |
Stock Buybacks Peak at the Top
Peaking stock buybacks is consistent with the early stage of a long bear market. Intraday on April 27, the S&P 500 is trading 12.10% lower than it was at the start of the year. Right — not a huge setback — but negative nonetheless. Of course, it’s always possible that this is just the start… Read more Stock Buybacks Peak at the Top |
Why Is the Stock Market Falling?
“Why Is the Stock Market Falling?” — (Not Because of These Reasons) Financial journalists almost always mention “reasons” for a given day’s market action. For example, on April 22, an intraday Marketwatch headline gave two reasons for that day’s plummeting prices: Why is the stock market falling? Dow drops over 500 points as investors weigh… Read more Why Is the Stock Market Falling? |
Is War Negative for Stocks?
Here’s what really drives the trends of global stock markets Let’s first state the obvious: war is tragic as it brings death and destruction. But does war make the stock market go down? Many observers seem to believe so. Here are some Feb. 22 headlines: U.S. stocks fall sharply as Russia sends troops into breakaway… Read more Is War Negative for Stocks? |
Don’t be fooled by this
“Shooting Stars” of the Stock Market: “Don’t Be Fooled by This” A meme stock has been defined as “the shares of a company that have gained a cult-like following online and through social media platforms.” This “following” is largely comprised of novice investors who hope to make a quick profit. You may remember two well-publicized… Read more Don’t be fooled by this |
Investment Roadmap for 2022
Cryptos competing with USD and EUR. NFTs competing with Rembrandt and Da Vinci. Electric car makers with $0 revenue but market cap bigger than GM, Ford or Toyota. How do you make sense of today’s financial trends? Answer: Use Elliott waves to clarify the global macro environment, ID new opportunities and protect your existing investments. In this FREE, big-picture video from our friends… Read more Investment Roadmap for 2022 |
Was Covid a Bullish Event?
How to Outwit 99% of Investment Pros Was COVID-19 a “bullish event”? No. Here’s the real answer why stocks rose as the pandemic raged. Waves of social mood fluctuate in accordance with the Wave Principle and determine prices in financial markets. Moreover, these same waves regulate the tenor and character of social attitudes and actions.… Read more Was Covid a Bullish Event? |
Kiss of Death for Crypto?
Has Crypto-Mania Finally Run Its Course? Here’s a high-profile parallel between tech- and crypto-mania When a company that’s part of a major financial trend buys the naming rights to a professional sports stadium or arena, watch out! History suggests that such a prominent move might be a sign that the fortunes of that company are… Read more Kiss of Death for Crypto? |
Public is all in Stocks
New Update on the Public’s Voracious Appetite for Stocks Here’s a month-to-month breakdown of how much money individuals are spending on stocks. It’s been noted before in these pages that … … Investors have put more money into stocks in the last 5 months than the previous 12 years combined That was an April CNBC… Read more Public is all in Stocks |
Even the Bears are Bulls Now
When Even Bears Act Bullishly (What It May Mean) “Some indicators are making records” It’s difficult for most investors to take an independent stand from the crowd. For example, it may be wise to “buy when there’s blood in the streets,” as Baron Rothschild famously said, but for many investors, that’s easier said than done.… Read more Even the Bears are Bulls Now |
Free WEEK
You may agree that today, “hopeful” describes how most investors feel. Everyone is invested to the last penny! Hopeful that the pandemic will finally go away. Hopeful that Washington will do more good than harm. Hopeful that inflation will fall, and employment will rise. And, hopeful that stocks will keep rising if investors get their… Read more Free WEEK |
Kiss of Death
Stocks: Is This the “Kiss of Death” for the Bull Market? Stock market prices usually decline after this occurs. Many market observers believe that the catalyst for the next bear market will be a piece of extraordinarily bad news. However, Elliott Wave International has shown time and again that the stock market’s price action is… Read more Kiss of Death |
Record Optimism
January 27, 2022 Update M&As: Beware of This Major Sign of a Stock Market Top Here’s what often precedes “prolonged and devastating bear markets” Inside the three publications that comprise Elliott Wave International’s flagship Financial Forecast Service, Elliott Wave International recently documented the many expressions of “financial optimism.” Things like crypto mania. Or meme stocks.… Read more Record Optimism |